Archive for category Religion and other Woo
“Weight Change Can Impact Breast Cancer Risk”
Posted by Joshua Bardwell in Religion and other Woo on March 30th, 2010
A copy of an article with that title from Clinician Reviews, August 2006, was posted on the wall of Issa’s doctor’s office. The paper on which the article was based was published in JAMA, a peer-reviewed medical journal. Given the credentials of the people involved, you’d think they’d know that correlation does not imply causation.
Weight gain throughout adulthood appears to increase a woman’s risk for postmenopausal breast cancer. Women who gained at least 25 kg since age 18 were more likely than those who had maintained their weight to develop breast cancer. Weight loss since the age of 18 decreased breast cancer risk.
Weight gain of at least 10 kg since menopause was associated with an increased risk of breast cancer. However, women who lost at least 10 kg after menopause reduced their risk of breast cancer.
First, notice that the weight gain is being portrayed as the cause of the increased cancer risk. Even though some sentences use the correct, “correlation” language (“weight gain … was associated with an increased risk”) there are more sentences that use “causation” language, such as, “weight gain … appears to increase a woman’s risk,” “weight loss … decreased breast cancer risk,” and, “women who lost … reduced their risk.” A scientist should know better. A person with a high-school education in the scientific method could point out the logical flaw here: what if there is a third, unidentified factor, that results in both weight gain and increased cancer risk? That the authors of the study appear to have overlooked this obvious avenue for exploration (or that they simply do not consider it worth pursuing) is an example of fat-bigotry. The idea that fatness is the cause of bad health is seen as tautological, and so scientific results that support that idea are seen as correct and final, and not worthy of further investigation.
The article concludes with this morsel:
“Women should be advised to avoid weight gain and counseled on the potential benefits of weight loss after menopause,” according to Eliassen and colleagues. Given the difficulty experienced by many persons trying to lose weight, the authors add, weight maintenance should also be emphasized.
Right. Because the reason people gain weight as they get older is that they’ve never been counseled to avoid weight gain. Is there, anywhere in America, a single person who has not received the message that getting fat as they get older is bad? Is lack of education really the problem? At least the authors acknowledge that many people have trouble losing weight, but what’s their answer? Exploring the reasons WHY many people have so much trouble losing weight? No. Just add weight maintenance to the list of things you’re going to counsel your patients on. So, now, in addition to saying, “You’re fat and you should lose weight or you’re going to die,” doctors can also say, “You’re not fat yet, but if you get fat, you’re going to die.” What. A. Fucking. Improvement.
If doctors “advising” people to lose weight made people lose weight, there wouldn’t be any fat people left. It seems like “scientists” would have considered this.
There is a more subtle form of fat-bigotry going on here that I’d also like to point out. What if the study had said, “women’s hair turning gray was associated with an increased risk of breast cancer, therefore doctors should advise women not to let their hair turn gray as they age.” It’s understood that a person’s hair turning gray is not something a person can control, and so the suggestion would be correctly perceived as ridiculous, and we would wonder what world the authors were living in. Since it’s perceived that a person’s weight is largely within their control, the suggestion to mitigate breast cancer risk by managing weight is seen as reasonable, but in a world full of fat-hate, where 70% of people are still defined as medically overweight or obese, you’d think that evidence-based scientists would be more receptive to the idea that a person’s weight is not as “in their control” as, say, the length of their fingernails.
Which is not to say that the authors of this paper are bad scientists or bad people—they’re probably not. But, like all of us, they live in a culture that is full of fat-hate. One message that we can take from this is that if people who have devoted their careers to evidence-based conclusions can be swayed by the culture of fat-hate, what does it mean for the rest of us?
Religious Experience and Scientific Inquiry
Posted by Joshua Bardwell in Religion and other Woo on January 19th, 2010
I originally wrote this essay in May, 2005. At the time, I called myself pagan. Since then, I’ve come to call myself an atheist. I think some of the skepticism that eventually led me to atheism can be seen here.
I still think there’s a lot of value in the “tests” that I describe in this essay. In the “example” section, I apply the tests to claims made by a hypothetical pagan author, but they could apply to any claim that is being met with skepticism.
The neo-pagan values of tolerance and acceptance protect people who practice minority religions from the undeserved persecution and ridicule that those people often receive in mainstream society. At the same time, people sometimes abuse those values to avoid the persecution of their harmful, immoral, or unethical behaviors. These people disguise their behaviors as religious expression and co-opt its protections. Neo-pagans should consider under what circumstances behaviors that claim to be religious beliefs should be protected and under what circumstances they should be subject to scrutiny, skepticism, and criticism.
The values of religious tolerance and acceptance stem from the principle that everyone has the right to the religious beliefs and practices that he or she finds to be most satisfying and rewarding, and that a person’s religious beliefs and practices should be held absolutely immune from unwanted criticism and skepticism. I call this tenet religious inviolability.
Although I believe that religious inviolability is a fundamental personal right, it can also be justified rationally. Most people strive to avoid hypocrisy—behaving inconsistently with one’s professed beliefs. Based on an examination of various religions, I conclude that all religions have some beliefs that seem ridiculous, implausible, or irrational to non-believers. Therefore, a religious person would behave hypocritically if he or she were to question anyone else’s religious beliefs on the basis of their credibility, plausibility, or rationality. Practice of religious inviolability is one way that a religious person can avoid hypocrisy.
Non-religious people must also practice religious inviolability in order to avoid hypocrisy. An irrational belief can be defined as one that a person holds in spite of a lack of supporting empirical evidence or in spite of empirical evidence that contradicts the belief. Religious beliefs usually fit that definition; therefore, I treat them simply as a subset of the more general category of irrational beliefs. Since even non-religious people often hold irrational beliefs, non-religious people would also behave hypocritically if they did not practice religious inviolability.
One might argue that we should grant religious beliefs special status relative to other irrational beliefs, but if so, then by what standard should we differentiate religious beliefs from other irrational beliefs? Religious beliefs seem personal and varied enough to preclude a universal standard of differentiation. One person’s myth may be another person’s religion. Inherent to religious inviolability is the premise that people have the freedom to specify which of their beliefs and practices they consider to be religious in nature. Therefore, we cannot treat irrational religious beliefs any differently than any other irrational beliefs.
In the previous paragraph, and throughout the rest of the document, I refer to “irrational religious beliefs.” Although I have observed that most religious beliefs are irrational, I do not mean to imply that all religious beliefs are inherently irrational. I am open to the possibility that some religious beliefs can be defined as rational, but I consider that topic to be outside the scope of this paper. Constantly using the “irrational” modifier eventually becomes tedious, so the reader should assume throughout the rest of the article that when I refer to “religious beliefs,” I am referring specifically to irrational religious beliefs. Since I believe that irrational beliefs make up the majority of religious beliefs, I feel that this shorthand is acceptable, but I would not want my shorthand to offend those who feel that they hold rational religious beliefs.
Tests and Principles
Given this background, I will now present tests and principles that I use to determine under what circumstances the principle of religious inviolability should protect behaviors and beliefs and under what circumstances scrutiny and skepticism should apply.
The Test of Scope
The test of scope states that, to the degree that a person’s decision affects only that person, religious inviolability should apply. As a person’s decision affects others, and especially when a person’s decision affects those who do not share the same religious beliefs as the person, the protection of religious inviolability decreases.
The essence of religious inviolability is that people have the right to make their own religious decisions, regardless of those decisions’ apparent irrationality. But each person’s religious freedom must carry equal weight. If a person makes a decision based on religious beliefs, and that decision will affect others who don’t hold those religious beliefs, that decision impinges upon the religious freedom of those others. If the affected people cannot come to an agreement that accommodates their religious beliefs, they must base their ultimate decision on some objective standard. Rational, verifiable beliefs are more objective than irrational, unverifiable ones, and should be that basis.
For example, a politician who passes laws that are based on religious beliefs should be subject to scrutiny and skepticism. Religious inviolability does not protect him or her because the effect of his or her religious-based decisions falls on those who do not share his or her religious beliefs. By an extension of the test of scope, a person who preaches religious beliefs in public gives up some of the protection of religious inviolability by nature of the fact that he or she is asking others to take on those religious beliefs and, hence, be affected by them. However, he or she retains some degree of protection, since each person is free to choose to share in religious beliefs or not. If he or she were coercing religious belief, as in a state religion, that would decrease the protection of religious inviolability further, since it would compromise a person’s right to choose his or her own religious beliefs.
The Test of Cost
The test of cost states that as the stakes of a decision increase, the necessity of using verifiable, rational beliefs also increases, even when the decision affects only the decision-maker, but especially when the decision affects others who do not share the same religious beliefs as the decision-maker. Irrational, unverifiable beliefs lead to inferior, less-consistently-good decisions compared to rational, verifiable, and testable beliefs. When the cost of a decision is low, the penalty for making a sub-optimal decision is also low. When the cost of a decision is high, it is more important to make an optimal decision.
I base the test of cost on an analysis in which I compare the cost of a behavior to the reward of its likely outcome. If the most likely outcome offers more reward than the cost, then the behavior is rationally justified. Religious freedom means that a person should be able to participate in irrational religious behaviors, even if those behaviors fail a strict cost-benefit analysis. But the greater the stakes of the choice, the more the cost of an irrational choice, until, at some point, the gravity of the penalty of the irrational choice challenges the sacredness of religious freedom.
For example, I participate in certain religious behaviors, such as regular prayer, and maintaining an altar space in my home. The cost of these behaviors is minimal: a few minutes of time per day, and a few dollars now and then for sacraments for the altars. I can’t justify this behavior rationally, but it feels good and it costs very little, so I continue the behavior even though it produces no concrete benefits (except, arguably, for feeling good). Take now the more extreme example of Christian Scientists, who eschew doctors in favor of faith healing. In the case of a critically ill person, an irrational decision about one’s healthcare can produce literally grave results. The test of cost explains why courts have ordered Christian Scientist parents to seek medical treatment for their children even though doing so violates the religious practices of Christian Scientists, but courts don’t order Orthodox Jewish parents to allow their children to wear secular clothing. Wearing out-of-the-ordinary clothing has minimal costs, in terms of social success and personal health, so religious inviolability reigns; not seeking medical treatment for a sick child has potentially dire costs, which makes it ethical to set aside religious inviolability. The test of cost also explains why doctors often reserve experimental or untested treatments for terminally ill patients for whom tested treatments have already failed. These patients have nothing to lose if the untested treatment fails, whereas a patient who was not terminally ill might worsen if untested treatments were substituted for ones that had been proven to work. The reader should keep in mind that in this case I have intentionally chosen extreme examples in order to illustrate the test of cost. One should not infer that I believe that only people with nothing to lose should receive religious freedom and protection!
The Principle of Full Disclosure
When a person makes a decision or enters into a transaction with another person, he or she has the right to do so based on an examination of all available evidence related to the decision or transaction. I refer to this as the principle of full disclosure. In many circumstances, society treats a person who intentionally withholds or misrepresents relevant information as unethical, especially if that person does so with the intent to benefit from the decision-maker’s ignorance in a way that the person would not if the decision-maker were more informed. Examples of the principle of full disclosure in action include laws that require pharmaceutical companies to disclose the side effects of drugs that they sell.
Along with the examination of evidence comes the need to evaluate the veracity of the evidence. Not all evidence is equal. Evidence that seems to come from reliable, trustworthy sources should usually be given greater weight than evidence that doesn’t, for example. Therefore, the principle of full disclosure also requires an ethical person to disclose not only the facts related to the decision or transaction, but also any supporting facts that might be necessary to allow the decision-maker to evaluate the veracity of the facts. Standards and certification bodies exemplify this aspect of the principle. For example, laws require licensed medical professionals to have finished a certain program of study. This requirement has the intent of assuring patients that they can grant a certain minimum level of trustworthiness to the information and advice given by a licensed medical professional
Irrational religious beliefs cannot be scientifically or independently verified (or else they would be rational). Religious people take their religious beliefs as a matter of faith, holding them regardless of their irrationality. Therefore, when it comes to decision-making, the decision-maker should be granted the opportunity to differentiate between irrational religious beliefs and experiences and beliefs that can be or have been independently or scientifically verified. It is unethical to misrepresent unverified or unverifiable religious beliefs as verified beliefs.
Example
I will now demonstrate how I apply all three of these principles to a specific situation.
Neo-pagan authors sometimes write books containing spells that purport to produce various effects. Whether these books should be protected as religious expression or not depends on how the author presents them. I have observed that the purveyors of magic spells nearly always reject offers to test those spells’ effects in a rational, scientific context. In that case, the principle of full disclosure demands that the author must clearly identify that he or she has not scientifically verified the spells’ effectiveness. Put simply, the author must clearly differentiate between scientifically tested facts and religious beliefs. I realize that not all of my readers grant the same value to scientific testing that I do; nevertheless, I submit that most readers would place scientifically tested information into some different category than untested or un-testable religious beliefs, and so would benefit from a clear distinction between the two.
In my experience, pagan authors seldom explicitly misrepresent the nature of the information that they present. Rather, they wrap the information in an air of mysticism and avoid the question of whether they tested it scientifically. This amounts to a lie of omission, although the reader must also take some responsibility for vetting the information of which he or she partakes. But readers of neo-pagan books of spells are often new to the topic and naïve, and so they bear less responsibility in this matter than the experienced authors that sometimes take advantage of them.
How does the test of cost apply to this situation? To answer that question, consider the nature of the spells’ claimed effects. Passing off an un-scientifically-tested spell to find a lover as scientifically tested will, at worst, have the effect of failing to find a lover for the magician. The magician has lost little except time, of which he or she ostensibly has plenty. In this circumstance, I would treat the spell as an innocuous religious expression and a matter of personal choice, protected by religious inviolability. If the spell requires expensive reagents, the cost of the irrational behavior increases, and the protection of religious inviolability decreases somewhat. Still, one certainly has the right to decide how one spends one’s own money! On the other hand, if the spell purported to cure a serious disease like cancer or diabetes or a condition like depression or other mood disorders, the protection of religious inviolability decreases dramatically, since a person who used the spell in lieu of a scientifically tested treatment risks serious consequences—death, at worst.
Conclusion
We should scrutinize and, sometimes, criticize people who misrepresent their religious beliefs as testable or tested facts. As the cost and scope of those claims increases, so does the ethical and practical necessity of scrutiny. However, a person can reclaim some of the protection of religious inviolability through application of the principle of full disclosure. If a person makes the religious nature of their claims absolutely clear, they shift some of the responsibility for the application of that information onto the people who use it. Unfortunately, many people lack the training in scientific methods necessary to be able to perform scientific tests and to analyze the validity of claims of scientific testing. Therefore, full disclosure may not fully protect a person’s expression of his or her beliefs, since he or she might incorrectly analyze the validity of the beliefs (for example, claiming and believing that the beliefs have been scientifically tested, when the methodology used has flaws that are obvious to a trained scientist) or since his or her audience might be duped by intentionally untruthful claims of scientific testing.
Merry Christmas
Posted by Joshua Bardwell in Religion and other Woo on December 23rd, 2009
I feel flustered when people wish me a Merry Christmas. I haven’t been any sort of Christian for a long time. I never know what to say. One time, I stammered, “No. None for me, thanks.” Another time, I said, “No thank you. But no hard feelings!”
When I respond these ways, the store clerk or cashier often looks confused, and I kind of feel bad. Then I thought, “That way they feel when I say, ‘no thanks,’ is exactly how I feel every time I’m wished a Merry Christmas. Confused. Not knowing what to say.”
People have said to me, “They’re just being friendly.” I think that’s the superficial intent, but the person’s response when they’re told, “no thanks,” reveals the true intent. If they say, “Oh, my mistake,” that’s fine, but if they get angry or outraged, then something else was in play, other than just friendliness.
And what was that thing that was in play? In my opinion, it’s the unspoken desire to perpetuate the fantasy that everyone in the world shares your religious beliefs and cultural practices. This is expressed in the question, “Why don’t you just say, ‘you too,’ or, ‘thanks,’ and leave it at that?” What this question asks me to do is to “pass“—to pretend to be something that I’m not—in order to save you the discomfort that would come from acknowledging me authentically.
When people say, “All you have to do is say, ‘thanks,’ or, ‘you too,’” what I hear is, “All you have to do is continue to support my incorrect belief that you are just like me in your religious beliefs and practices.” But doing that has effects beyond just December greetings. I have a whole lot of opinions that probably differ dramatically from the common conception of the “mainstream.” So do you. So does everybody! When I inform people that I’m not Christian and I don’t celebrate Christmas, I hope that I’m helping to break down the incorrect idea that everyone is just like them. I hope that plays out when it comes time to set public policy on issues like abortion, support for the military and police, drug prohibition, and so forth. If you believe that everyone is just like you, then it makes it easy to marginalize the “few outspoken” who disagree. But if people who are not like you expose that fact, it will turn out that most people are not like you in some significant ways, and I think that makes it harder to marginalize dissenting opinions.
Like Tyler Durden said, “You are not a beautiful and unique snowflake.” You and I are probably more similar than we are different. If that wasn’t true, marketing and demographics wouldn’t be so effective. But we are also different in dramatic and significant ways, and by participating in the fantasy that we’re the same, we not only erode others’ ability to be themselves, we deny ourselves the ability to do the same.
Atheism Is Apparently Offensive
Posted by Joshua Bardwell in Religion and other Woo on July 10th, 2009

FORT LAUDERDALE, Fla. (WSVN) — Community residents are protesting a billboard they call offensive to Christians.
The sign states: “Being a good person doesn’t require God. Don’t believe in God? You’re not alone. www.FreeThoughFlorida.com.”
So, the atheist billboard is offensive, but this series is okay?

There’s a double standard here. When atheists speak out about their lack of belief, they are considered to be intrusive and offensive. When Christians speak out about their belief, it’s treated as okay, even though the two things are objectively identical.
Here is an excellent monologue on that topic:
Ask an atheist: Why not be an optimist and just believe in God?
Posted by Joshua Bardwell in Religion and other Woo on May 18th, 2009
I call myself an atheist. This means that I do not see sufficient evidence to support the hypothesis of an anthro-centric god. In this segment, I answer your questions about atheism.
Josef Nix of Atlanta asks:
Given than none of us really knows and it’s all a matter of faith, be it yes or no, then why not opt for belief and be an optimist?
All other things being equal, I’m a fan of optimism. Unfortunately, belief in deity is only optimistic if you believe that the existence of deity is a good thing. Taking the Christian God as an example, if he exists, then he has an opinion on all sorts of my behavior, and if I don’t step into line, I’m going to end up burning in a lake of fire for all eternity. No thanks! From my perspective disbelief in deity is the optimistic view.
